Good lord, we should have had this up ages ago...
(ETA) More importantly, crime is still issue No. 1. In fact, the release says the pollster "was astonished at the magnitude of identification of violent crime as the top issue."
When asked an open-ended question about what issue was the most important one for the city, "nearly two-thirds of those polled – said murder, violent crime or gun violence was the top problem for City officials. ... Public corruption, jobs and school performance trail distantly at 7% a piece.”
Other interesting facts...Fattah benefits from 95% name recognition; Fattah wins his district handily but even beat Brady by a slim margin in his own district; 89% of those surveyed said "a candidate’s race or ethnicity would have no impact on their vote."
The group behind the poll is the pro-business lobby Pennsylvanians for Effective Government. Read the poll release here.
Comments (26)
So after 2-3 weeks of ads, Knox is still in the single digits? Better step it up.
No big shock from that poll. It seems flawed though since 60+ percent of registered Dems are black and the poll had a sample that was 50-50 black/white. I suspect Fattah would have been closer to the 31-33 that he got before if they had sampled differently.
Posted by Dan | January 4, 2007 4:21 PM
A couple issues I have with this poll, and with polls in general:
1) "Crime" is a compound issue which, if you think about it, includes "Public corruption, jobs and school performance"
2) Aside from the issue Dan pointed out with the racial makeup of the poll sample, I'll point out that the fact that these people voted in the last primary doesn't necessarily mean they are representative of who will vote in the mayoral primary. There could well be more people who registered to vote in the Democratic mayoral primary this time around. There may also be people who turned out to a specific candidate in a previous primary who will stay home for the mayoral primary.
3) Not necessarily a problem with polling, per se, but note that 20% of the voters polled were undecided. Even if nobody changes their mind, the undecided voter block is still large enough to potentially push any of the candidates who currently have >10% past Fattah.
In short, while the poll's interesting, I would urge people to take it with a very large grain of salt.
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January 4, 2007 5:20 PM
This poll isnt surprising considering Fattah's name recognition. I want to see if this changes once other candidates start listing their ideas. Fattah hasnt given anyone a clue as to what he stands for thus far so its kind of sad to see him so far ahead.
Posted by sj | January 5, 2007 11:05 AM
Can there be a poll that asks if Fattah's comments on Mumia Abu-Jamal's conviction would have any influence on how people vote?
I can't see how Fattah can credibly be considered as a candidate able to build bridges between law enforcement and communities when he supports someone who was rightfully, and legally, convicted of murdering a police officer.
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