(NOTE: All numbers are as of the morning of Friday, Dec. 14; which means Villanova's win over Hartford is not factored in.)
We move from the English department to math, as our weekly statistics session comes to order.
(Though we might have to file this stuff under engineering instead of arts and sciences, given how complicated it can be.)
This season, I'm adding the Basketball State ratings to the customary Pomeroy, Sagarin and RPI. The Basketball State formula is way over my head, but it seems to involve a combination of RPI, strength of schedule, location of games and efficiency. And it updates hourly, somehow.
So with that said, here's the first table of the season. I will bring in non-conference strength of schedule next month once that part of the season has started to wrap up.
Team |
Record (Conf.) |
Pomeroy |
RPI |
Sagarin |
BB State |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Drexel |
5-4 |
253 |
127 |
134 |
284 |
La Salle |
3-4 |
239 |
260 |
228 |
290 |
Penn |
3-7 |
298 |
248 |
230 |
337 |
St. Joseph's |
4-4 |
75 |
121 |
87 |
25 |
Temple |
4-5 |
90 |
77 |
98 |
68 |
Villanova |
7-1 |
70 |
31 |
25 |
66 |
I find it really interesting that St. Joe's has lost all its big non-conference games but is 25th in Basketball State, while Drexel is over .500 but is 284th (and 253rd in Pomeroy). That's how you know the effect of efficiency stats.
After the jump, we turn to the individual schools...
As with last year, each school's report includes tempo, offensive and defensive efficiency, and any categories where the school is above 100th or below 300th in Division I. Individual stats are noted when a players in the top 100 in Division I. Any stat that is top 10 in Division I is bolded.
As always, these stats are taken from Ken Pomeroy's website. Though he now writes for Basketball Prospectus, Pomeroy maintains his stats at the old page.
And two reminders: First, that percentages refer to the percent of that statistic (i.e. points or offensive rebounds) per 100 possessions; and second, that there are 341 teams playing Division I basketball this year. Not that you asked.
I use raw instead of adjusted numbers because I think the adjustments for strength of schedule are given too much weight, and because as I said above it's still too early in the season for SOS to mean anything.
Drexel
-- Offensive efficiency: 84.0 (321)
-- Defensive efficiency: 91.0 (53)
-- Tempo: 68.5 poss / 40 min (171)
Offense
-- Turnover percentage: 27.8% (329)
-- Offensive rebounding percentage: 24.4% (332)
-- Free throw percentage: 55.9 (333)
-- Steal percentage (i.e., steals given up): 13.0% (309)
Defense
-- Effective field goal percentage (which gives extra weight to threes): 43.4% (28)
-- 3-point field goal percentage: 27.7% (19)
-- 2-point FG %: 44.4% (80)
-- Free-throw %: 64.7% (69) (and that should make Dragons fans feel at least a little better)
Tramayne Hawthorne
-- Percent of team's minutes played: 56th (88.8%)
Frank Elegar
-- Free throw rate (FTs made as a percentage of FGs attempted): 42nd (79.1%)
La Salle
-- Offensive efficiency: 98.2 (201)
-- Defensive efficiency: 99.2 (149)
-- Tempo: 69.3 poss / 40 mins (151)
Offense
-- Offensive rebounding %: 38.1% (52)
-- 3-point FG%: 38.1% (52)
-- Steal %: 7.6% (33)
Defense
-- 3-point FG%: 30.4% (55)
-- Ratio of threes to all FGA: 25.6% (8)
-- Ratio of assists to FGM: 43.4% (14)
Jerrell Williams
-- Percentage of possessions where he makes the decisive play (slightly long-winded explanation here): 54th (30.1)
-- Offensive rebounding percentage: 37th (16.1)
Darnell Harris
-- Turnover percentage: 74th (10.4)
Penn
-- Offensive efficiency: 95.6 (241)
-- Defensive efficiency: 108.5 (292)
-- Tempo: 74.1 poss / 40 mins (36)
Offense
-- Free throw rate: 32.0% (24)
-- 3-point FG%: 29.3% (301)
-- Ratio of assists to FGM: 62.2% (47)
Defense
-- Free throw % (64.6%) (67)
-- Assists/FGM: 48.3% (49)
Harrison Gaines
-- Assist rate: 27th (37.6%)
Saint Joseph's
-- Offensive efficiency: 110.8 (42)
-- Defensive efficiency: 103.1 (206)
-- Tempo: 64.0 poss / 40 mins
Offense
-- Effective FG%: 53.0% (83)
-- Turnover %: 19.7% (64)
-- Free throw rate: 28.5% (73)
-- Ratio of threes to FGA: 43.2% (26)
-- Assists/FGM: 60.3% (69)
Defense
-- 2-point FG%: 44.0% (68)
-- Block %: 14.2% (31)
-- Steal %: 11.5% (87)
-- Assists/FGM: 65.8% (327)
Ahmad Nivins
-- Percentage of possible minutes played: 34th (90.4%)
-- FT rate: 4th (122.4%) (impressive, very meaningful and not at all surprising)
Tasheed Carr
-- Percentage of possible minutes played: 89th (86.4%)
-- Assist rate: 13th (41.5%)
Temple
-- Offensive efficiency: 106.6 (85)
-- Defensive efficiency: 103.9 (209)
-- Tempo: 68.7 poss / 40 mins (167)
Offense
-- Effective FG%: 54.7% (45)
-- Free throw rate: 29.7% (54)
-- 2-point FG%: 54.2% (37)
-- Free throw %: 77.6% (5)
-- Block %: 6.2% (42)
Defense
-- Free throw %: 74.2% (319)
Dionte Christmas
-- % of possible minutes played: 31st (90.7%)
Mark Tyndale
-- % of possible minutes played: 74th (87.4%)
Villanova
-- Offensive efficiency: 115.7 (17)
-- Defensive efficiency: 100.9 (173)
-- Tempo: 69.6 poss / 40 mins (137)
Offense
-- Turnover %: 17.2% (13)
-- Offensive rebounding %: 40.8 (20)
-- Free throw rate: 28.7% (67)
-- 3-point FG%: 38.9% (63)
-- Steal %: 6.8% (13)
Defense
-- Effective FG%: 55.1% (301)
-- Turnover %: 25.3% (51)
-- Offensive rebounding %: 28.2% (33)
-- Free throw rate: 46.7% (303)
-- 3-point FG%: 42.0% (310)
-- Block %: 12.6% (56)
-- Steal %: 12.4 (54)
-- Ratio of threes to all FGA: 45.7% (337)
Shane Clark
-- Offensive Rating (explanation of sorts here): 44th (130.8)
Casiem Drummond
-- Offensive rebounding %: 5th (20.4%)
-- Defensive rebounding %: 14th (29.8%)
