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More on Villanova's comeback

Before all the shine from Thursday night wears off, I wanted to get this post up about some of the stats behind Villanova's win over against LSU. I was particularly interested in the breakdown of points per possession during the Wildcats' big rally.

I'm not sure that what I came up with proves anything, but the numbers are interesting nonetheless. I had to figure them out by hand because we don't get boxscores just for certain segments of a game, so I hope they're right.

But I was able to split the second half in two parts, which I'm calling Early and Late, with the point of separation being Terry Martin's three-pointer with 8:50 left that gave the Tigers a 21-point lead, 54-33.

Early

LSU: 15 field goal attempts, 6 free throw attempts, 4 turnovers, 2 offensive rebounds, 19 points, 20 possessions, 0.96 points per possession

Villanova: 17 FGA, 8 FTA, 4 TO, 8 OR, 9 points, 17 possessions, 0.54 points per possession

Late

LSU: 11 FGA, 9 FTA, 5 TO, 2 OR, 13 points, 18 possessions, 0.71 points per possession

Villanova: 12 FGA, 21 FTA, 2 TO, 2 OR, 35 points, 22 possessions, 1.59 points per possession

Quite a contrast, isn't it?

As Mike Jensen notes in today's College Basketball Report, ESPN's Bill Raftery saw it coming: LSU's foul trouble had a lot to do with their collapse.

Anthony Randolph picked up his fifth with 4:08 left and the Tigers up by 15, and just under a minute later the floodgates really opened. Villanova finally had some space to get the ball to the basket from within the paint, resulting in 11 free throw attempts after Randolph hit the bench.

I knew Raftery was really good, but I didn't know he had clairvoyance to go along with that humor.

Enjoy the rest of the weekend; see you at the Liacouras Center tomorrow night.

Comments (4)

Jim:

Dickie V might think that he has coined all the good phrases in college hoops in the past 25 years, but Raftery always makes me smile with his classic "Send it in big fella!"

By the way, is it just me or does it seem that Dante Cunningham is a good kid, who works hard on the court and shows all the effort a coach could want from a player?

Jerome Lane:


It was made famous when I made a throw-down dunk back at Pitt.

Bill said "Send it in Jerome!!"


Jerome Lane
Akron, Oh

T. Galas:

Don't know Cunningham either, but he does seem to present himself as you describe....he's the right fit for 'Nova and 'Nova is the right fit him. I think most of Wright players fit that model, and well beyond graduation they will appreciate the 'Nova connection.

T. Galas
Charleston, SC

F. Popelars :

I like Bill Raftery because I remember him at LaSalle even though he was ahead of me at Nova. He works the game as intensely as the Big 5 games were in the 50,60 and 70s'. While he played over 50 years ago and that is hard for me to say, he still looks to find something to give insight into the teams or players as the games progresses. It seems some analysts try to become critical of the play as games get out of hand, he finds or identifies something that you look for in games that give you a better understand of it.

Bill has been a good catch for ESPN and great with Big 5 games because he knows how much energy go into them.

Frank Popelars
Southport, NC

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Jonathan Tannenwald is a producer with Philly.com.

I fell in love with the Big 5 at first sight upon moving to Philadelphia in 2002. At various points in my journalistic career, I've covered all six of the region's Division I teams. During that time, I've eaten many soft pretzels from the Palestra's concession stands, which is how this blog got its name.

In addition to the blog, I host and produce the Inquirer's College HoopsCast. It's a weekly podcast that features all the latest news and analysis from around local and national college basketball. Regular guests include Inquirer writers Mike Jensen, Joe Juliano and Mel Greenberg.

I also occasionally contribute to the Inquirer's women's basketball weblog, Women's Hoops Guru. If you've come here from there, this blog deals mostly with the men's side of things, though I do write about women's basketball and other sports when they fit in.

When not focusing on college hoops, I host and produce the Inquirer's PhilliesCast with Phillies beat writer Todd Zolecki, and can occasionally be found behind the camera shooting videos of the Eagles, other professional sports teams and the tiger cubs at the zoo.

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