« Melt Down | Main | Almanac, Dec. 10 »

Hurricane Preview

Didn't the hurricane season just end, you may rightfully ask yourself.

It did, on Nov. 30, but today the Colorado State University forecast team issued its 2008 outlook, and they say it is highly unlikely to be as kind to U.S. taxpayers as the 2007 season.

For the season that begins June 1, 2008 and ends Nov. 30, they foresee a total of 13 named storms, or one fewer than this season’s. To get a name, a storm has to have winds of 39 m.p.h. or better.

The forecasters, Philip Klotzbach and William M. Gray, warn of a high likelihood that at least one major hurricane, with winds of 111 m.p.h. or better, will make U.S. landfall -- something that did not happen this year.

Loyal readers (see "Hurricane Season, Post Mortem" below) may recall that the 2007 season left an early Christmas present for U.S. taxpayers. Not a single major disaster was declared for a hurricane this fiscal year, according to Ashley Small, spokeswoman for the Federal Emergency Management Agency.

Scroll back to 2005, the year of Katrina, and FEMA committed $37.8 billion to clean up for hurricane disasters.

TrackBack

TrackBack URL for this entry:
http://blogs.phillynews.com/inquirer/mt-tb-trythis.cgi/4387.

Comments (3)

ed:

Where is Larry Kanes Blog?

steve:

O.K. folks,, I guess these guys need another 15 minutes ..This report is silly, coming out on Dec 7th. The least they could do is wait until May 1st, then they wouldn't have to keep changing the numbers. Anybody hear of the boy who cried wolf?

There's a big market (energy) that is moved indirectly on Dr. Gray's forecasts. Even though the forecasts aren't directly marketed or sold to the energy sector it does give traders -- and meteorologists in the energy sector -- an idea of what may be forthcoming.

Post a comment

Philly.com discussions are intended to be civil, friendly conversations. Please treat other participants with respect and in a way that you would want to be treated. You are responsible for what you say. And please, stay on topic.

These boards are monitored by Philly.com staff. We reserve the right at all times to remove any information or materials that are unlawful, threatening, abusive, libelous, defamatory, obscene, vulgar, pornographic, profane, indecent or otherwise objectionable to us in our sole discretion and to disclose any information necessary to satisfy the law, regulation, or government request. Personal attacks, especially on other board participants, are not permitted. We reserve the right to permanently block any user who violates these terms and conditions.

The Author

tonywood150.jpg

Tony Wood has been writing about the atmosphere for The Inquirer for 26 years.


About

This page contains a single entry from the blog posted on December 7, 2007 4:46 PM.

The previous post in this blog was Melt Down.

The next post in this blog is Almanac, Dec. 10.

Many more can be found on the main index page or by looking through the archives.

Powered by
Movable Type 3.35