By Mel Greenberg
We're going to do this drill conservatively. Only real sure teams are going to go on the lock list so the remainder can be determined in terms of size vs berths and for comparison sake to move teams forward.
Oh, left over from the previous post: The Ivy doesn't have a tournament, per se, but Harvard needs to beat Yale to win the automatic Saturday night or Cornell to lose Princeton. If that happens in direct reverse, a tie emerges, which could also become three-way if Dartmouth beats Brown and the other two Ivy schools lose.
The "Locks" -- 53
America East winner -- projects Hartford -- tournament next weekend
Atlantic Coast -- North Carolina, Maryland, Virginia, and Duke --- one of which will be automatic
Atlantic Ten -- George Washington, which is projected winner.
Atlantic Sun winner -- East Tennessee or Jacksonville
Big Ten -- Ohio State, Iowa
Big 12 -- Kansas State, Baylor, Texas A&M, Oklahoma State, Oklahoma, Nebraska, Texas
Big East -- Connecticut, Rutgers, Notre Dame, West Virginia, Pittsburgh, Syracuse, Louisville
Big West winner -- projected Santa Barbara
Big Sky winner -- projected Montana
Big South winner-- projected Liberty
Colonial Athletic winner --projected Old Dominion
C-USA winner -- projected UTEP
Horizon winner --projected Wis.-Green Bay
Ivy winner -- projected Harvard
Metro Atlantic winner -- projected Marist
MEAC winner -- projected North Carolina A&T
Mid-American winner -- someone
Summitt winner -- projected Oakland
Missouri Valley winner -- projected Illinois State or Evansville
Mountain West -- Utah, Wyoming
Northeast winner -- projected Quinnipiac
Ohio Valley winner -- Eastern Illinois or Murray State
Pac-10 -- Stanford, California, Arizona State
Patriot winner -- someone
Sun Belt winner -- projected Western Kentucky
Southeastern -- LSU, Tennessee, Vanderbilt, Georgia
Southland winner
Southern winner -- projected Chattanooga
SWAC winner -- someone
Western Athletic winner -- projected Boise State or Fresno State
West Coast winner -- projected Gonzaga
"Bubbles" -- 17 candidates for 11 vacancies thus needing six eliminations
Georgia Tech
Florida State
Xavier
Temple
Purdue
Minnesota
Michigan State
Iowa State
DePaul
James Madison
SMU
Illinois State or Evansville
TCU
Southern Cal
Middle Tennessee
Kentucky
Auburn
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