By Mel Greenberg
Ok, class, let's play the numbers game again in terms of who gets into the tournament and who is on the fence. Some teams will be moved into locks from the bubble/discussion list, because the Guru believes as such, although the committee may go in a different direction. The bubbles will include wrong loser, for the purpose of counting. The locks wil include conference automatics. A "W" means the automatic qualifier has been secured.
The Locks -- 57 slots
America East winner -- Hartford projected.
Atlantic Coast: North Carolina -- W, Maryland, Duke, Virginia
Atlantic Ten: George Washington, Temple, Xavier (Temple or Xavier in final_
Atlantic Sun winner: East Tennessee St. -- W
Big 12: Kansas State, Baylor, Oklahoma State, Texas A&M, Oklahoma, Nebraska, Texas
Big East: Connecticut, Rutgers, Louisville, West Virginia, Pittsburgh, Syracuse, Notre Dame
Big Sky winner: Montana projected
Big South winner: Liberty projected
Big Ten: Purdue-W, Iowa, Ohio State
Big West winner: UCSB projected
Colonial winner: Old Dominion projected
Conference-USA: SMU-W, UTEP
Horizon winner: Wis.-Green Bay projected
Ivy winner: playoff survivor among Cornell, Hartford, and Dartmouth
Metro Atlantic winner: Marist-W
Mid-American winner: Bowling Green projected
MEAC winner: North Carolina A&T projected
Missouri Valley winner: Illinois, Drake or Evansville, but only one.
Mountain West: Utah, Wyoming
Northeast winner: Long Island U. or Robert Morris
Ohio Valley winner: Murray St. - W
PAC-10: Stanford, California, Arizona State
Patriot winner: Bucknell or Holy Cross
Southeastern: Tennessee, LSU, Vanderbilt, Georgia
Southern winner:Chattanooga or W. Carolina
Southland winner: Texas State???
Summit winner: Oakland projected
Sun Belt winner: W. Kentucky projected
SWAC winner: Somebody
Western Athletic winner: Boise St. or Freshno St. projected
West Coast winner: San Diego - W
Bubbles and (WL) wrong losers worth discussion for comparison
(14 below, 7 must be subtracted)
Georgia Tech
Florida State -- slim
Boston College -- slim
Iowa State
DePaul
Minneosta -- slimmer
Michigan State -- slimmer
Illinois -- for discussion
James Madison
TCU
Kentucky -- 15-15 sets a bad precedent
Auburn
Middle Tennessee
Gonzaga -- WL
-- Mel
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