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Winners & Losers

Winners:

Michael Nutter, obviously. He did not simply win, he blew out the field. He bested his nearest rival, Tom Knox, by 11 percentage points.

Maria Quinones Sanchez, winner over Dan Savage in the 7th Council District. The only Democrat endorsed by Gov. Rendell, so he can take some credit. Remember, this was the seat originally held by Rick Mariano, now in jail serving a prison term for bribery.

William J. Green IV, the former mayor's son, won the one at-large seat that changed hands.

The Charter. Voters accepted most of the proposed changes, but rejected the attempt to change the city charter to let office holders keep their seats and run for another office.

The Notion of Reform. In a way, Knox set the table. His early ads got people hungry to see a change in the way things operate in this city. Nutter capitalized on that voter sentiment. He came along at the right time, with the right message to push the idea along. Together, Knox and Nutter got 64% of the Democratic vote. And that has to been seen as a vote for change.

Losers:

Tom Knox. He spent about $135 per vote to lose, but give the guy credit. He created the buzz about reform and ran a credible campaign. Credit him also with making a bid -- a successful one at that -- to reach out to black voters. The vote returns indicate he got between 15% and 20% of the black vote.

Chaka Fattah. So much for the vaunted field organization. He looked weak even in his home turf. A bad campaign, a bad result.

John Street. The mayor's arch enemy wins. His son, Sharif, loses. He is entering the long era when no one will return his calls. Payback is a female dog.

Bob Brady, but he doesn't care. He got to stop Knox, who couldn't help dissing the party chair at every turn. Brady ran 3rd and the ward returns show the Democratic organization delivered for him in key wards.

Dwight Evans, who gets a clear message from the voters. Please, Dwight stay in Harrisburg.

Carol Campbell. As of this writing, losing to Curtis Jones by 500+ votes. Campbell looks like she is going down. Her fate will be decided by the final returns.

-- Tom Ferrick

Comments (7)

Anonymous:

Nutter's win is historic by Philly standards. But he still has the much of the same council, with it's same dated vision of Philly as the uniony, tax the businesses and wage earners until they move out to get a 5% raise mentality.

Is council going to allow Nutter to collect overdue property taxes? Sell city held property at competitive, open auction/bidding?

Privatize city functions while modernizing them?

Pubish the city budget draft? Pay down the city debt so we can borrow at saner rates?

Make PHA sell the property stock it can't afford to maintain or rebuild?

Allow debt for utilties to be collected at lien sales using the proceeds of the sale of the property to pay off the bill?

All of this is how the counties make a tax base and fund schools, police, and the right amount of prison/rehab space. The largest landlord in Chester County is not an entity that pays no property taxes (ie the Philadelphia Housing Authority).

Why is Philly so slow to grasp that it can't afford a quarter of the owning population as not paying at least part of its own way? Cities can't be where we house the poor for the state. The federal government is not going to pay for that anymore.

And really, aren't Philly's entry level skilled workers better off where the jobs are that suit them, where the towns are safer, the schools better, and the cost of living cheaper?

Living in the city is a priviledge, not everyone can swing it, and that's just fine.

Council though, unlike Nutter, doesn't realize how much it needs the new middle class vote, and is going to try to create huge debt to "house" and "train" the people it just paid for to educate and failed to do.

Anonymous:

Council has made itself clear about loving the wage tax and not being able to imagine life without it.

That means Philly's economy will still only be a shadow of its possibility.

If Nutter couldn't show these people the light on wage taxes (or the BPT, a tax that is unique in all the world, except maybe in pre-revolutionary France), then is there really any hope of them coming around to "creating jobs" by letting the economy create them?

Can a Council so illiterate economically learn?

Anonymous:

Street, Fattah, Campbell, and all of their ilk; you lost. You are done. Now please just go away.

Anonymous:

chaka fattah started with a seemingly rock solid lead, it was his to lose and he did, which makes him the biggest looser.

Dwight started in second and ended up a huge looser, but somehow he doesn't seem like a looser. He looks like a guy who gave it the old college try.

Bob Brady, started in last place when he announced and did better than expected, he was especially comfortable in the debates, which most folks thought would be his week spot, and given the climate for change and the battering he took in the media and from Knox, the ballot challenge, how badly he was outspent and the fact that other candidates just couldn't bring Nutter down to earth, I think Brady comes out ok with a third place finish.

Nutter will need Brady when it comes time to negotiate with the unions and build support for his programs.

Knox's candidacy was just really poorly conceived, he knew his past business practices made him unacceptable, but he preceeded to blow 13 million of his own money anyway. Sure he built an electronic base with all that money, but they blew right off him the minute he was attacked (more credit to Brady for having the guts to spend 400,000 dollars attacking him. He's a huge looser too. And so is Jon Doc and Jane Blackwell.

Anonymous:

When Michael first ran for City Council in 1987, then Representative Chaka Fattah backed yesterday's winner Curtis Jones until he was removed from the ballot. he then offered his "support" for Michael's campaign while he simultaneously did a lot of questionable and backhanded things to try to seemingly prevent his eventual success. This included trying to have his organization mambers challeng Michael's attempts to become a force in the 52nd Ward, to supplying unproductive "workers" from his organization to assist with the Nutter campaign.

It seemed that Chaka was always intent on being THE power from West Philadelphia and his actions and the actions of those who surrounded him bore those sentiments.

It is really GOOD to see that Michael trounced him in the manner that he did.....
Shows who the REAL power was in West Philly.

Anonymous:

Fattah - 4th place...so much for the so-called legendary field operation - a fraud like Fattah himself!

Adam B [TypeKey Profile Page]:

Local guru Neil Oxman won; national strategists Joe Trippi and David Axelrod got their asses kicked.

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Authors

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Great Expectations is a civic engagement project brought to you by The Inquirer and the University of Pennsylvania. Check out the Great Expectations Web site.

Chris Satullo is an Inquirer columnist and former editor of The Inquirer's Editorial Page. He was a founder of the Great Expectations project, which focuses on civic engagement and the issues in Philadelphia's 2007 mayoral race.

Tom Ferrick, a former Inquirer reporter, worked on the Great Expectations project throughout 2007 and into 2008.

Other members of the Editorial Board will be weighing in on the blog, as will Harris Sokoloff and Jodie Chester Lowe, members of the Great Expectations team.

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This page contains a single entry from the blog posted on May 15, 2007 11:54 PM.

The previous post in this blog was Take a look.

The next post in this blog is Dear Diary.

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